Geopolitics

Safe-haven flows, risk premia and how much of a geopolitical move tends to stick.

14 articles on this topic

  1. Signals

    XAUUSD signal: sell the $3,945 retest, target $3,886 Newest

    Gold rejected $3,970 for the third time in two sessions and gave back the whole of Monday's rebound. The desk sells the $3,945 shelf toward $3,886…

    ·7 min read
    • $3,920.63
    • $3,895.59
    • $3,969.96
    • $3,971.15
  2. Signals

    XAUUSD signal: sell the $3,966 bounce, target $3,898

    Gold clawed back $69 of Friday's $146 drop and stalled at $3,970. The desk sells the retest at $3,966: one order, a $68 stop, $3,898 first…

    ·7 min read
    • $3,875.44
    • $3,891.36
    • $3,970.31
    • $3,944.71
  3. Signals

    XAUUSD signal: sell the $3,903 bounce, target $3,843

    Gold closed at a 13-month low after a $146 slide that lower yields and a flat dollar cannot explain. Monday's plan sells a $3,903 bounce with…

    ·7 min read
    • $3,875.44
    • $4,023.94
    • $4,027.13
    • $3,870.17
  4. News & Macro

    Gold lost 6.8% in October and the last session took half

    Gold closed October at $3,875.44, down 6.78% — the final session alone took $146 of it, on a chip-led rout while Treasury yields fell. The month's…

    ·6 min read
    • $3,875.44
    • $3,884.90
    • $3,875
    • $3,885
  5. News & Macro

    Gold Forecasts Were Cut Again. The 2027 Number Went Up

    The Reuters poll of 30 analysts cut its 2026 gold median to $4,495, down just $14, and raised 2027 to $4,650. The consensus is arguing about…

    ·6 min read
    • $4,060.54
    • $3,989.33
    • $4,495
    • $4,509
  6. Signals

    XAUUSD signal: sell the $4,031 range top, target $3,982

    Gold bounced off $3,978 and stalled $4.30 under Friday's high. The desk sells the $4,031 ceiling with a $49 stop and closes the trade before Wednesday's…

    ·7 min read
    • $3,978.19
    • $4,025.52
    • $3,988.92
    • $4,029.87
  7. Signals

    XAUUSD signal: sell the $4,022 retest, target $3,963

    Gold closed its steepest week in more than four months at $3,996 with the FOMC on Wednesday. The desk sells the $4,022 retest: one order, $59…

    ·7 min read
    • $3,995.80
    • $4,000
    • $3,986.84
    • $3,975.64
  8. News & Macro

    Why 194,000 Jobless Claims Outweighed a Wider War

    Thursday's 194,000 claims print did more damage to gold than a widening Gulf war: the metal fell 2.3% to a ten-week low because the labour market…

    ·7 min read
    • $4,051.55
    • $4,034
    • $4,021
    • $4,028
  9. Signals

    XAUUSD signal: sell the $4,054 retest, target $3,995

    Gold broke the October floor and closed $97 lower near $4,028. The desk sells the $4,054 retest with a $59 stop, one order, and targets $3,995…

    ·7 min read
    • $4,028
    • $4,125.50
    • $4,140
    • $4,126.16
  10. Signals

    XAUUSD signal: sell the $4,144 retest, $4,105 is the pivot

    Gold closed Wednesday at $4,135 after a sweep to $4,105 left a four-touch cap at $4,141.8. The desk sells the $4,144 retest with a $54 stop…

    ·7 min read
    • $4,113.87
    • $4,141.82
    • $4,105.10
    • $4,135.15
  11. Signals

    XAUUSD Signal, 21 Oct 2026 — The Housing Spike Was Sold; $4,111 Is the Line

    Gold spiked to $4,155.45 on a 7.3% collapse in pending home sales and closed the same hour at $4,142.91, finishing Tuesday at $4,121.66 with the $4,110.95…

    ·6 min read
    • $4,131.99
    • $4,111.71
    • $4,142.91
    • $4,121.66
  12. Signals

    Gold Gives Back a $4,184 Gap as Yields Hit 5.14%

    XAUUSD reversed a $4,184.84 opening gap to close $4,141.04 as the 10-year backed up to 5.144% on the Konarak strike report, leaving Thursday's $4,131.33 low as…

    ·7 min read
    • $4,184.84
    • $4,165.50
    • $4,190.39
    • $4,161.9
  13. News & Macro

    Gold Held, Silver Broke: The Hormuz Week That Priced Inflation, Not Fear

    Brent touched $110 and nine ships were attacked near Hormuz, yet gold closed 0.59% lower at $4,165.27 and silver fell 6.3% to $56.98 as December hike…

    ·6 min read
    • $4,165.27
    • $4,190.27
    • $4,216.89
    • $4,073.32
  14. Signals

    XAUUSD Signal, 19 Oct 2026 — Gap Risk Into a Hormuz Headline Week

    Gold closed the week near $4,165 inside a $4,147–$4,199 Friday range with three rising session lows behind it and Hormuz escalation risk ahead of Monday's open…

    ·6 min read
    • $4,155
    • $4,167
    • $4,167.14
    • $4,165.40

Keep reading

Topics are how gold actually behaves

Most gold moves trace back to a handful of recurring drivers. Reading a hub end to end is the fastest way to see how the metal has responded to that driver over time.